Signs Before the End of the Age

This topic contains 162 replies, has 11 voices, and was last updated by Profile photo of t8 t8 1 week, 5 days ago.

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  • #805779
    Profile photo of david david 
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    Even though droughts floods and storms have globally stayed the same, deaths due to these things are down 98% globally since the 1920’s!!

     

    yes.  98%.

     

    You our mentioned better communication and technology   There is also better medical aid and transport and trade   When a drought hits one country they can trade with another and so don’t experience the famine   These types of things mean much less pain and suffering   Globally

     

     

    #805780
    Profile photo of david david 
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    Even though droughts floods and storms have globally stayed the same, deaths due to these things are down 98% globally since the 1920’s!!

    yes. 98%.

    You our mentioned better communication and technology There is also better medical aid and transport and trade When a drought hits one country they can trade with another and so don’t experience the famine These types of things mean much less pain and suffering Globally

    #805781
    Profile photo of david david 
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    T8. I’m sorry to say most of your headlines are garbage.

    The sexond one asked if children today will die younger than parents.  Infant and child morality are something I study.  The trend is huge and extremely clear.  Much much mmuch smaller infant mortality rates which ends up equaling longer lives on average.  You have to know this is true.

     

    have you ever considered how the news BUSINESS works?  They have no responsibility to convert accurate stories or by sense of historic reality.  A decade ago in Canada and the Us at least there was a rash of news reports on ROAD RAGE.  maybe it was the same in New Zealand.

    Pleas eplease please watch the video called

    “human nature –the availability heuristic”.

    It may also say “danger at the wheel”. It shows how insanely pathetic and moronic the entire news industry is….in the US at least.  They need stories to sell. That’s their business.  Please watch it.  It’s short.  The news businesses can t sell stories about people dying of old age on their beds which is common. They have to find the rare and unusual stories, even if they are barely true.

     

    Again.  They are a business.  Combine this with human psychology and an unwillingness to look at stats or actual facts and this is mostly explained.

    #805782
    Profile photo of david david 
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    “murder rates rise sharply on many cities”

     

    in other news murder rates fall sharply in many other cities.

    Im a little interested in the US as a whole.  not so interested in individual cities.

    Bit im really interested in global homicide and while there has really only been global stars on hat for about a decade the trend is down.  But if we look at Europe is insanely down over 700 years  and I wold imagine Europe wasn’t special in that

     

    You can always pick the worst of the worst and point to that indiciducual City or country   What I’m suggesting is this can lead to self deception   We must look at the whole or as large a picture as possible.

    what sells more newspapers–sayong:

    murder rates are rising in some cities

     

    or

     

    Murder rates are rising in some cities bit falling in most

     

    the second one is a non-story.  So they print the first one   And people buy it up   If it bleeds it leads.

     

     

     

     

     

    #805790
    Profile photo of kerwin kerwin 
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    David,

    Do you consider suicide violence?

    It is the tenth leading cause of death in the U.S. and that is mainly because its higher in Caucasians, who are the majority population.

    Accidents are the fourth leading but I doubt you consider them violence.

    #805802
    Profile photo of david david 
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    Hi kerwin

     

    i am interested in the trend of:

     

    morality (which largely relates to harm, pain and suffering/well being flourishing)

     

    and

     

    pain and suffering (which may or may not be caused by immorality–ie: disease, accidents, etc)

     

    No I don’t consider accidents violence but I’m also not sure the rate of deaths by accident (such as on farms, auto accidents) are increasing   In fact I know for every mile travelled by car in the US, the person is 1/6th as likely to die as a few decades ago.  We have  both made cars safer and made life saving techniques better.

     

    Fo suicide I don’t really know where to put that.  It’s definitely bad but it’s certainly much different than someone killing others.   Suicide is actually one of the few stats I haven’t looked at for violence and maybe that’s a bias I have.   But I just don’t consider it comparable to someone doing harm to others.

     

    As  a side note, I wok for someone who just put their dog on anxiety medication   I don’t think anxiety has really increased in dogs recently   I just think we are more aware and care more

    #805805
    Profile photo of kerwin kerwin 
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    David,

    I tend to view suicide and homicide as two sides of a coin. The former is violence tuned inward and the later is violence turned outward. In 2013 suicide was ranked 7th for males so perhaps it has gotten better. Breaking that study up by race and ethnicity you get Whites with suicide ranked as 7 and Blacks with homicide ranked at 5. Hispanics have both at ranks 8 and 9 respectively. I believe a large share of the difference is due to cultural mores such as your belief suicide is a lesser crime.

    On accidents, males are most often the victim which hints at reckless behaviors as being a factor. I suspicion males are the most common victims of all those acts.

    #805986
    Profile photo of t8 t8 
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    T8. I’m sorry to say most of your headlines are garbage.

    Of course there is no truth to them whatsoever and the world is becoming a better place. At its current rate, Paradise on Earth is but decades away.

    lol.

    #805988
    Profile photo of t8 t8 
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    • Man flu is no myth as scientists prove men suffer more from disease
    • Man finally returns overdue library book more than 50 later.
    • Man slips on banana peel.
    • Taking Too Much Vitamin C Can Be Dangerous
    • Travel cost have gone up since 2008.

    You can’t deny it David.

    #805990
    Profile photo of t8 t8 
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    On a more serious note David. Let’s take the last 200 or so years.

    In which period would you live in the Middle East with your family if you had to?

    1. Today
    2. 1950
    3. 1800

    Some videos for your entertainment.

    #806031
    Profile photo of david david 
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    T8, I have never ever said on here that paradise earth is but decades away.  And I don’t believe that.

    Im merely looking at what I consider large and important trends.  And it’s the direction I’m comcerned with more than any timing.

    #806032
    Profile photo of david david 
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    I don’t know what those videos are of but if they are meant for me I have no idea why.  I have never argued that everything is perfect.

    #806033
    Profile photo of david david 
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    Your question about the middles east….I actually don’t know.  I suspect each of those years were relatively bad.  Relative to the world.

     

    And its its the world I’m interested in.   Ask me that question of the world….assuming I am an average person and don’t know if I will be dropped on the planet as a black man or a white women or a child, and I won’t know where.

     

    The he answer then becomes rather obvious for me.   Today would be better.  And likel 10 years from now would be even better.  Safer.  Healthier.  Less violent.  Less war.   Less poverty.  Less pain and suffering.  Globally.

     

    But if you want to drop me into one of the very few places that are moving in a counter trend to the overall trend, then yes, the last likely would be better in that small area of the world that has gotten worse. (And I don’t know it has gotten worse because I haven’t looked at local numbers.)

    why are you so focused on that one little area?  News is of course about things that happen.  Not about things that don’t happen.  News doesn’t record non-events.  And not being shot is a non-event.  Britian not going to war with France is a non-event.  The news records the bloodshed.  And it can always find enough.  If we want to know reality we have to look at stats.  This is even more true give our cognitive illusions.

    #806034
    Profile photo of david david 
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    I’m pretty sure travel costs have gone way down in several decades.

    Can you harm yourself from too much vitamin C?  So extremely few people die from vitamin overdoes and yet people seem so concerned about taking too many vitamins.

     

    #806035
    Profile photo of kerwin kerwin 
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    David,

    I find it surprising how many people kill themselves with aspirin but my point is that accidents seem to often result from reckless conduct though other reason are also factors. The disparity in men being killed by them seems to point to the idea that man are more subject to at least some of these factors than women.

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